2020 Retail Ranking: Black Friday and Cyber Monday
- Amazon gained share of First Choice shoppers from Big Box retailers for the holiday shopping period between Black Friday and Cyber Monday
- Several online-only retailers are new to the rankings as online sales surge
- Mid-Tier and High-End Department Stores mostly fell from last year’s rankings
- Two pet retailers made the top All Retailer list on rising pet spend
Earnest Analytics (FKA Earnest Research) First Choice Retailer Methodology
The Earnest First Choice Retailer Rankings are based on the credit and debit card spend of millions of de-identified U.S. consumers. Earnest identifies each shopper’s First Choice Retailer by comparing their spend across 1,164 retailers between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday. For example, if Shopper A spent $70 at Amazon, $50 at Walmart, and $30 at Target, their First Choice Retailer would be Amazon. Below, Amazon’s number one ranking means more customers spent the largest percentage of their retail wallet at Amazon during the holiday shopping period between Black Friday and Cyber Monday in 2020 than at any other merchant.
Shift to Online Across All Categories
Black Friday is traditionally associated with shoppers flocking to brick and mortar stores for blockbuster deals. However, this year online sales as a percentage of total purchases* surged, suggesting shoppers mostly stayed home. Notably, 57% of Apparel & Accessories and Department Store sales occurred online during the Thanksgiving shopping period ended the following Wednesday, up from 46% in 2019. Home transactions, including Home Improvement and Home Furnishings subcategories, remained the least likely purchases to be made online during the period.
Amazon Consolidated its Position as US Consumers’ First Choice
Last year, Earnest reported that for the first time, Amazon topped Walmart as the First Choice Retailer among US consumers during the Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday shopping period. Amazon retained its position in consumer wallets, while Target, Costco, and Home Depot maintained their top-five First Choice Retailer rankings. Amazon also consolidated its position as the first choice for 29% of US consumers, up from 23% in 2019. Walmart remained the first choice for 16% of consumers.
Two online-only retailers, Etsy and Chewy, are new to the top-15 First Choice Retailer rankings in 2020, as are Michaels Stores, and Petsmart, replacing Old Navy, BJ’s Wholesale, Dick’s Sporting Goods, and T.J. Maxx. Also notable, Macy’s* dropped four places while Dollar General rose two.
Apparel & Accessories and Department Stores: Kohl’s Stays on Top
Despite significant movement in the Apparel & Accessories and Department Stores rankings, Kohl’s retained its number 1 spot. T.J. Maxx displaced Old Navy for the number 2 spot. Mid-Tier and High-End Department Stores mostly fell from their previous year’s rankings (Macy’s, J.C. Penney, Nordstrom), while Off-Price mostly rose or retained their ranking. Online retailer Fashion Nova is new to the top-15 Apparel & Accessories and Department Stores list for 2020.
General Merchandise: Etsy Moves up the Rankings
Online marketplace Etsy moved up two rankings to number 7, displacing Dollar Tree and BJ’s Wholesale. Despite remaining largely unchanged, the General Merchandise rankings also showed consolidation of spend at Amazon, with all other top-15 retailers either maintaining or losing share.
Home: Home Depot Holds Ranking, Lowe’s Grows First Choice
Home Depot remained the number one Home retailer among US consumers by staying at 30% of customers’ first choice. However, Lowe’s gained 3%, rising to 25% of customers’ first choice. This marks one of the rare instances of a category leader not strengthening its position as a first choice among customers this holiday season. Also noteworthy in the rankings was World Market losing three spots as other Home Furnishings names gained.
Pets: Chewy moves into Number Two Spot
PetSmart has led the Pets rankings for three consecutive years and remains on top. However, PetSmart’s online brand Chewy displaced Petco for number two, gaining 6 points of Pets category share to 30%. Online pet supply retailer The Farmer’s Dog is new to the list.
Sporting Goods: Dick’s Remains First, Hunting Retailers Gain
Dick’s Sporting Goods, Academy Sports, and REI rounded out the top three Sporting Goods retailers, unchanged from 2019. However, lower down the list, hunting and shooting focused retailers Sportsman’s Warehouse, MidwayUSA, and Optics Planet all gained. Modell’s, number seven from 2019, was removed due to its planned liquidation. Online outdoor retailer Moosejaw is new to the list.
Notes
- *Does not include spend made on store-branded cards that will likely not be paid down until after the Cyber-5 period. Retailers marked with an asterisk are most sensitive to the exclusion of Store Cards.
- Data is derived from a panel of nearly 6.5 million de-identified US consumers.
- Cyber-5 analysis includes 7 days spanning Thursday, November 28, 2019, to Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and Thursday, November 26, 2020, to Wednesday, December 2, 2020.
- Total purchases references combined online and in-store purchases, excluding purchases made on captive and cobranded store cards.
- Analysis conducted over the 1,164 largest retailers in Earnest coverage, excluding subscriptions and retailers that primarily sell groceries.
- Walmart’s sales do not include sales made through Walmart’s Online Grocery platform.
- Analysis excludes Apple and eBay retail sales.
- Subcategories included in each analysis as follows:
All Retail: Active & Athleisure, Apparel Subscriptions, Children’s Apparel, Fast Fashion, Footwear, General Apparel, Intimate & Swimwear, Jewelry & Watches, Luggage & Bags, Luxury Apparel, Outdoor, Plus Size, Professional & Dress Attire, Specialty Apparel, Teen Apparel, High-End Department Stores, Mid-Tier Department Stores, Off-Price Department Stores, Audio Equipment, Computers & Tablets, General Electronics, Photo Equipment, Specialty Electronics, Big Box Retailers, Discount & Dollar Stores, Office Supplies, Online Marketplaces, Warehouse Clubs, Arts & Crafts, Music, Toys, Farm & Ranch, Garden & Outdoor, Home Furnishings, Home Improvement, Household Goods, Pet Supplies, Hunting & Fishing, Sports Gear.
Apparel & Access. and Dept Stores: Active & Athleisure, Apparel Subscriptions, Children’s Apparel, Fast Fashion, Footwear, General Apparel, Intimate & Swimwear, Jewelry & Watches, Luggage & Bags, Luxury Apparel, Outdoor, Plus Size, Professional & Dress Attire, Specialty Apparel, Teen Apparel, High-End Department Stores, Mid-Tier Department Stores, Off-Price Department Stores.
General Merchandise: Big Box Retailers, Discount & Dollar Stores, Office Supplies, Online Marketplaces, Warehouse Clubs.
Home: Farm & Ranch, Garden & Outdoor, Home Furnishings, Home Improvement, Household Goods.
Pets: Pet Supplies.
Sporting Goods: Hunting & Fishing, Sports Gear.
